Random Thoughts, July 20, 2018


Welcome to my new daily column for my blog, called Random Thoughts. It will focus on daily musings and rumblings of everything and anything.

Random Thoughts July 20, 2018 photo
Photo by Adam Johnston

Now that the 2018 FIFA World Cup is now over, its time to do a brief reflection of the tournament. Regarding overall quality, and excitement, this ranks within the top three of all of the World Cups since I have been following soccer since 1998 (Tied with the 2014 FIFA World Cup in Brazil for the top spot and  2002 in Korea/Japan, for third). This tournament had everything, from last-second winners, powerhouses sent packing (Germany), the emergence of old powers (Belgium, England), feisty workhorse teams (Croatia, new stars emerging (Mbappe).

The only problems I had were the Video Assisted Referee (VAR) and all my teams being knocked out. Nonetheless, it was worth all the time spent watching on my smartphone at work and hours of PVR recording. As for VAR, I think the bugs will be kicked out, and we should get used to those 9 minutes of stoppage time going forward.

Once again Europe dominated the tournament, with all four semi-finalists coming from the continent (France, Belgium, Croatia, England). The last time a Latin American team won the World Cup was in 2002 with Brazil. My sense on what I see from the skill set of countries who showed up to play like Belgium, and France, it may well be a very, long, long time before Latin America gets a hold of the World Cup Trophy, again. Going out on a limb and saying its going to be 2026 before we see a Latin American team in the final and outright win the World Cup.

Regarding the 2022 Qatar FIFA World Cup, the tournament is scheduled for November 21- December 18, 2018. A friend and I at work had this debate if the next World Cup will be the lowest rated in North America’s televised history, given that its right in the middle of NHL, NBA, NFL season, and near the tail end of the CFL with Grey Cup being played at this time. I could understand why the move was made to avoid the hot Qatari summer, and avoid conflict with the 2022 Winter Olympics in Beijing. However, It will be interesting to see how it plays out, especially for Fox, who has the US broadcast rights with NFL games possibly conflicting with World Cup games. Could make for some tricky broadcast scheduling.

Next year, we begin the cycle of regional tournaments. Next year includes the 2019 Asian Cup, CONCACAF Gold Cup, Copa America, and the African Cup of Nations. These tournaments could give some possible insight on who has the inside track moving towards the next round of World Cup qualifying, which will start as early as next year for some confederations (CONMEBOL).  Concerning South America, I am going out on a limb and saying Brazil honestly is the best South American team and should be the clear favorite, along with Uruguay in next years Copa America.

As for Euro 2020, France should be clear favorites. However, don’t be surprised if some of the major countries who were not in Russia this year (Netherlands, Italy) or those who were gone early (Germany) reach the semi finals. Just look back at Euro 2004 Netherlands reaching the semi-finals.

With the World Cup over, despite the hot weather, I could feel fall slowly creeping in. Soon enough Winnipeggers will turn their thoughts to fall and the new 2018-19 NHL Winnipeg Jets season. Will they replicate their long run from last year or take a few steps back? Tough to say. Will say, this though, fans should expect nothing less over the next few years of at least making the playoffs every year. Not making at least the first round of the playoffs over the next three to five years should be considered a massive disappointment for Jets fans.

On another local sports note, having Valour FC apart of the Winnipeg pro sports family will add more spice to our city. Consider this, its entirely possible three to four pro sports teams will be playing all at once in their respective leagues in either spring or the fall. If that does not get you excited about having White out parties downtown or marches to the stadium for Valour FC’s games in 2019, who knows?

I have always appreciated the beauty of Assiniboine Park. Very scenic. A beautiful place to get away from the madness of this world. Should take a day away before winter comes.

On a final note, debating about using my vacation time to hop on a Greyhound bus in early fall to see some MLS out east while viewing the fantastic sites of the Great Lakes. It’s a shame that Greyhound will drop service in Western Canada. Although at times uncomfortable, and dealing with annoying cranky tots are a pain, taking trips on the Greyhound bus, have been some of the best times of my life. It allowed me to get away from things while finding that peace that you can’t get in the hustle and bustle of modern life.  Those long naps were priceless. The Greyhound bus represented much simpler times of the past.

 

 

 

The Case for the #CanPL in #Winnipeg


My last post on the Canadian Premier League, I discussed key factors in making the Canadian Premier League a viable and firm professional sports option. This time, I look at my hometown of Winnipeg, and why the Canadian Premier League would fit perfectly like a goalkeeper’s glove this time around if all the ingredients are in place at  a possible 2018 kickoff.

A city of approximately 718,000 (793,000 in the greater metropolitan area (GMA) ), Winnipeg has grown since its population of 627,400 (677,000 GMA) when the old Canadian Soccer League played its final season in 1992.

So why now? Why would professional soccer work this time in Winnipeg, compared to 1992?

Let’s look at some factors.

The first is Winnipeggers understand soccer more now and have been supportive of big games when played here. Over 28,000 showed up in May of 2014 for an international friendly between the Canadian and United States women’s soccer team. Meanwhile, the FIFA Women’s World Cup was a huge success here, attracting large audiences during June 2015.

 

FIFA World Cup 2015 US Australia
US vs. Australia at the 2015 FIFA Women’s World Cup at Investors Group Field in Winnipeg June 8, 2015. Via Adam Johnston Instagram

 

Another case for a successful Canadian pro soccer team in Winnipeg: the possible backing of two heavy hitters: The Canadian Football League’s Winnipeg Blue Bombers and True North Sports and Entertainment (TNSE) (who own the National Hockey League’s Winnipeg Jets), according to Canadian soccer blogger Duane Rollins. While I question the management decision of the Winnipeg Blue Bombers, at times with their football operations, having a playable field with Investors Group Field is critical for the new Canadian Premier League team. The Winnipeg Blue Bombers Football Club get much-needed dates, outside of Manitoba Bisons football, Winnipeg Rifles, and the odd concert. Factor in around an additional 7-10 games yearly at 2,500-4,500 Average per Canadian Premier League game (estimation) gives some modest financial muscle for the Winnipeg Blue Bombers. While it would be nice to sell out Investors Group Field for a Canadian Premier League game, in the beginning, having a healthy crowd to the games is critical in encouraging Winnipeggers in coming out.

If TNSE is involved, it will add some marketing oomph to a brand new team. Ever since the Winnipeg Jets have returned to Winnipeg since 2011, True North’s branding of the team has been remarkable. They are worth $350 million US and have increased their market value by 20% since they were known as the Atlanta Thrashers in 2010-2011. You can’t go anywhere in Winnipeg without knowing what the Jets logo is. With TNSE scheduled to open up a downtown square, similar to Toronto’s Maple Leaf Square, having a soccer team to broaden its sports empire and attracting a larger demographic of Winnipeg sports fans would not hurt given the changing demographics of Canadian sports.

However, to ensure the future success of pro soccer in Winnipeg, some things will have to be addressed.

First, as I have previously on this blog and social media, you need a supporters club. I won’t go too much into that as I have discussed it and made a hard case for it. You just can’t attract suburban soccer moms from bedroom communities like West St. Paul.

My second point is the need to get our local media to embrace fully the possibilities of what a Canadian Premier League can do for Winnipeg. While Winnipeg has produced some of the most well-known soccer media personalities in Canada (Bobby McMahon with his work with Fox Sports World and Rogers Sportsnet, to Jerrad Peters from the Winnipeg Free Press), the challenge is going to ensure the club has a mainstream media presence amongst a rabid hockey town. Having dedicated reporters from both the Winnipeg Free Press and Winnipeg Sun would help. Winnipeg’s sports radio station TSN 1290, by going after radio broadcast rights along with a weekly phone in should engage Winnipeg Canadian Premier League supporters.  Local television rights would be useless, considering if there is a national broadcaster showing all Canadian Premier League games.

But perhaps one last challenge is let’s face it; Winnipeggers are cheap. We are cheaper than cheap. Winnipeggers want a bargain. We flock to places like Dollarama, Dollar Tree, and Giant Tiger searching for deals (try going to the Dollarama at Portage and Donald daily). If Canadian Premier League ticket prices are affordable (For example 11 games for Ottawa Fury fall season tickets are as low as $96.00 for the supporters group section; $137.39 for the regular adult section), then that’s a bonus to get extra butts in the seats between May through October.

It’s not going to be a slam dunk. But this not 1992. It’s 2016. Lots changed. Demographics, the Internet, and globalization have helped spread “The Beautiful Game,” across Canada and here in Winnipeg.

 

FIFA WWC 2015
2015 FIFA Women’s Worl Cup Pre-Game Ecuador Vs. Japan June 16, 2015 at Investors Group Field Winnipeg, Manitoba. By Adam Johnston via Instagram

 

Let me know what you think. Do you think pro soccer can succeed this time in Winnipeg? Let me know on Facebook, Twitter, LinkedIn, or by email at adamjwpg@mymts.net.